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Islamabad: According to Mosharraf Zaidi in The News International, Pakistan’s military, bureaucracy, political, commercial, and all other sectors must accept India’s remarkable emergence as a nation and put an end to a broken, dysfunctional, and failed status quo.

India’s GDP was barely over USD 450 billion in 1999, when General Musharraf surprised the Pakistani people with the Kargil misadventure, but it is now USD 3.18 trillion, according to Zaidi.

India’s capacity to participate in world affairs is now in a different league, if not an entirely different universe, than it was in 1999. According to me, India has put on “big boy trousers,” remarked Zaidi.

Pakistan’s GDP is only about USD 350 billion, which is less than one-tenth the size of India’s.

According to Zaidi, the illusion of economic parity, if such a thing ever existed, is starting to erode precisely as India’s economic growth story is just getting started.

Morgan Stanley predicts that India’s overall GDP will increase from its current USD 3.18 trillion to roughly USD 8 trillion by 2030, or in less than seven years.

Currently, 2.2% of world exports come from India. According to Morgan Stanley, this will increase to 4.5% of all exports in 2030. Approximately the next seven years, the Indian retail industry is anticipated to more than quadruple to over USD 1.8 trillion.

Most significantly, the per capita GDP is anticipated to rise from USD 2,278 to USD 5,242. From 5.6% to over 25% of all Indian homes, the proportion of households with an annual income exceeding USD 35,000 is anticipated to soar. According to The News International, this means that one out of every four Indian households will belong to the global middle class.

Most of the time, highly educated people will be responsible for that household income. Most of them will be buyers of expensive things. The upper-middle-class Indian will be the single most coveted consumer on the earth, making the Indian star the highest paid on the planet. India is moving from having a lot of impoverished people to having a lot of rich people by the year 2030, levelling up its entire economy.

According to Zaidi, India’s society, polity, and economics today are what will drive the country to become a significantly larger economic entity by 2030.

India’s strength as a nation is being realised at a time when actions made under its leadership are being honoured with the highest honours.

According to The News International, the most significant of these benefits is India’s change from a poor nation with a large population of poor people to a wealthy nation with a growing population of rich people.

And this is the reason why Prime Minister Narendra Modi receives a red carpet welcome practically everywhere he goes, from Abu Dhabi to Tokyo and from Washington, DC, to Canberra.

While this is going on, Zaidi argued that Pakistan’s internal unrest—including the military’s unjustified and unconstitutional interference in civilian affairs, the policy elites’ incompetence, and the country’s dysfunctional economic affairs—all call for a significant package of transformational reforms.

Pakistan has been weakened by its susceptibility to terrorism and the propensity of Pakistanis in high positions to make foolish strategic decisions (such as during the Battle of Kargil or with the desperate Bajwa Doctrine), but the fundamentals of Pakistani national security have not changed.

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